Value bet: Ordabasy to win @ 2.26 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOrdabasy to win49% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.20
Ordabasy vs Aktobe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Ordabasy v Aktobe in the Premier League, played at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; Aktobe are 5th (upper half) with 49. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ordabasy, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kaspiy, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aktobe, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Yelimay Semey, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Aktobe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 1.8 xG, Aktobe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 49%, draw 25%, Aktobe 26%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Ordabasy to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 1–1 Aktobe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ordabasy49%fair 2.03 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.89
Aktobe26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
2.87Expected goals
1.78Ordabasy xG
1.08Aktobe xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.8 – 1.1 Aktobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win
49%
2.03
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.67
Draw no bet
Ordabasy (draw no bet)
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Aktobe +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.20
1.08
First team to score
Ordabasy to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Ordabasy – last 4
WWWW
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
20 Mar
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Zhenys
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aktobe – last 6
WLWDLW
30 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Arys
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Aktobe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aktobe 26%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–1 Aktobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
Ordabasy vs Aktobe (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
