FC Astana 56%Draw 25%Kyzyl-Zhar 18%Expected goals 1.65 – 0.85
72%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.32
7/10Rating
1.32Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Astana to win56% · @1.68
Double chanceFC Astana or draw82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.53
FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 9 May: FC Astana v Kyzyl-Zhar in the Premier League, played at Astana Arena. In the table, FC Astana are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th (lower half) with 33. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Astana, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FK Tobol Kostanay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Okzhetpes, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.7 xG, Kyzyl-Zhar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 56%, draw 25%, Kyzyl-Zhar 18%.
Lower-risk option: FC Astana or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Astana56%fair 1.77 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.62
Kyzyl-Zhar18%fair 5.51 · @4.20
2.50Expected goals
1.65FC Astana xG
0.85Kyzyl-Zhar xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Astana 1.7 – 0.8 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Astana to win
56%
1.77
1.68
Double chance
FC Astana or draw
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
FC Astana (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Kyzyl-Zhar +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
FC Astana to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Astana / FT FC Astana
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
FC Astana – last 6
LWLWDW
29 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ BKS
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
0–4
L
20 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Kaisar
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Zhetysu
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6
LWWWWD
2 May
vs Okzhetpes
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Irtysh
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Atyrau
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Zhenys
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Khan Tengri
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Irtysh
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Astana and Kyzyl-Zhar.
What is the prediction for FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
On our numbers FC Astana have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kyzyl-Zhar 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
