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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yelimay Semey v Kaspiy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Spartak
0–0
–

Kaspiy

LLWLD
Yelimay Semey 59%Draw 22%Kaspiy 19% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.01
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultYelimay Semey to win59% · @1.46
Double chanceYelimay Semey or draw81% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.25

Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yelimay Semey welcome Kaspiy to Stadion Spartak for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 9 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Yelimay Semey are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Kaspiy are 11th (lower half) with 33. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Yelimay Semey, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ulytau, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Kaspiy, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ordabasy, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Yelimay Semey, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Kaspiy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yelimay Semey 1.7 xG, Kaspiy 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yelimay Semey 59%, draw 22%, Kaspiy 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yelimay Semey 1–1 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yelimay Semey59%fair 1.69 · @1.46
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.94
Kaspiy19%fair 5.38 · @5.85
2.74Expected goals
1.73Yelimay Semey xG
1.01Kaspiy xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–06%

From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.7 – 1.0 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYelimay Semey to win59%1.691.46
Double chanceYelimay Semey or draw81%1.231.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.911.83
Draw no betYelimay Semey (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapKaspiy +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.10
First team to scoreYelimay Semey to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.25–

Recent results

Yelimay Semey – last 6

LLDWWD
3 May@ Ulytau0–1L
30 Apr@ Aktobe1–2L
26 Apr@ Kairat Almaty2–2D
8 Apr@ Turan Turkistan4–1W
4 Aprvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–0W
16 Marvs Altay1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kaspiy – last 6

LLWLDL
30 Apr@ Ordabasy0–3L
26 Apr@ FK Tobol Kostanay1–2L
9 Apr@ Ekibastuz4–0W
5 Aprvs Zhetysu0–1L
22 Mar@ Altay0–0D
17 Marvs Okzhetpes1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Yelimay Semey and Kaspiy.

Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?

On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kaspiy 19%.

How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?

Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–1 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?

Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.