FK Tobol Kostanay 55%Draw 24%Irtysh 21%Expected goals 1.75 – 1.00
79%
Betarazi pick
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.21
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win55% · @1.85
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.22
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Irtysh travel to face FK Tobol Kostanay on Saturday 9 May in the Premier League, with Centralnyj Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Irtysh are 12th (lower half) with 32.
Current form
FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zhenys, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Irtysh, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kairat Almaty, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FK Tobol Kostanay, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Irtysh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.7 xG, Irtysh 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 55%, draw 24%, Irtysh 21%.
Lower-risk option: FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (79%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.72.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (79%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Irtysh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Tobol Kostanay55%fair 1.83 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.44
Irtysh21%fair 4.70 · @3.58
2.75Expected goals
1.75FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.00Irtysh xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.7 – 1.0 Irtysh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win
55%
1.83
1.85
Double chance
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw
79%
1.27
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.72
Draw no bet
FK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Irtysh +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
FK Tobol Kostanay to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
LWWLWL
3 May
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ FC Astana
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Kaspiy
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Ansat
8–0
W
4 Apr
@ Yelimay Semey
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Irtysh – last 6
LLLLWD
2 May
vs Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Zhetysu
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Altay
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Tobol Kostanay and Irtysh.
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh?
Our pick is FK Tobol Kostanay or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh?
On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Irtysh 21%.
How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh?
Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Irtysh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh?
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Irtysh (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
