Value bet: Okzhetpes to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOkzhetpes to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Atyrau v Okzhetpes in the Premier League, played at Turkestan Arena. In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Okzhetpes are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atyrau, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aktobe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Okzhetpes, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Astana, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Okzhetpes, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Atyrau.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Okzhetpes 0–0 Atyrau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 1.1 xG, Okzhetpes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 34%, draw 23%, Okzhetpes 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Okzhetpes to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 1–1 Okzhetpes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atyrau34%fair 2.94 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Okzhetpes43%fair 2.31 · @2.62
2.41Expected goals
1.11Atyrau xG
1.30Okzhetpes xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.3 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Okzhetpes 43%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
