Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Premier League brings Kaspiy against Yelimay Semey at Zhestar Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Yelimay Semey are 6th (upper half) with 45. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kaspiy, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ulytau, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Yelimay Semey, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Irtysh, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kaspiy, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Yelimay Semey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 1.2 xG, Yelimay Semey 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 35%, draw 23%, Yelimay Semey 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaspiy35%fair 2.85 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Yelimay Semey42%fair 2.36 · @2.25
2.55Expected goals
1.20Kaspiy xG
1.35Yelimay Semey xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.2 – 1.3 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win✗
42%
2.36
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Yelimay Semey (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Kaspiy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Yelimay Semey to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Kaspiy – last 6
DLWDWW
8 Aug
vs Ulytau
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Irtysh
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Zhenys
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Kaisar
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Ordabasy
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Atyrau
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yelimay Semey – last 6
WDDLDD
9 Aug
vs Irtysh
3–1
W
2 Aug
@ Zhenys
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Kaisar
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Ordabasy
1–3
L
16 Jul
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
9 Jul
@ Alashkert
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Yelimay Semey.
What is the prediction for Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yelimay Semey 42%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey?
Kaspiy vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
