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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyzyl-Zhar v FC Astana: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Karasai Stadium
1–1
FT
Kyzyl-Zhar 19%Draw 24%FC Astana 56% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.71
81%
Betarazi pick

FC Astana or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: FC Astana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Astana to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyzyl-Zhar welcome FC Astana to Karasai Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 16 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; FC Astana are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Altay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC Astana, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Okzhetpes, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours FC Astana, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyzyl-Zhar 0.9 xG, FC Astana 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyzyl-Zhar 19%, draw 24%, FC Astana 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Astana or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: FC Astana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Astana or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyzyl-Zhar 0–1 FC Astana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyzyl-Zhar19%fair 5.18 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.35
FC Astana56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
2.61Expected goals
0.89Kyzyl-Zhar xG
1.71FC Astana xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Kyzyl-Zhar 0.9 – 1.7 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Astana to win ✗56%1.771.91 ▲
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.871.77
Draw no betFC Astana (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapKyzyl-Zhar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreFC Astana to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Astana / FT FC Astana ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6

DWWDLL
8 Aug@ Altay2–2D
1 Augvs Aktobe3–1W
25 Jul@ Zhetysu2–1W
18 Julvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
4 Julvs Yelimay Semey0–1L
27 Jun@ Yelimay Semey0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Astana – last 6

WWWLWW
9 Augvs Okzhetpes2–1W
2 Aug@ Ulytau2–0W
26 Julvs Altay4–1W
16 Julvs Dinamo Tirana1–2L
12 Julvs Aktobe3–2W
9 Jul@ Dinamo Tirana1–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kyzyl-Zhar and FC Astana.

Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

Our pick is FC Astana or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

On our numbers Kyzyl-Zhar have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Astana 56%.

How many goals will there be in Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

Our predicted score is Kyzyl-Zhar 0–1 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Karasai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.