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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atyrau v Ordabasy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Turkestan Arena

Atyrau

LWLLD
0–3
FT

Ordabasy

WLWWW
Atyrau 16%Draw 23%Ordabasy 62% Expected goals 0.64 – 1.58
62%
Betarazi pick

Ordabasy to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Atyrau vs Ordabasy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atyrau welcome Ordabasy to Turkestan Arena for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 17 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Ordabasy are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atyrau, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kaisar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ordabasy, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Astana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Atyrau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 0.6 xG, Ordabasy 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 16%, draw 23%, Ordabasy 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ordabasy to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 0–1 Ordabasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atyrau16%fair 6.28 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Ordabasy62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
2.22Expected goals
0.64Atyrau xG
1.58Ordabasy xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%

From our goals model: Atyrau 0.6 – 1.6 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✓62%1.621.44
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.10 ▲
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Atyrau – last 6

LWLLDD
12 Sep@ Kaisar0–1L
5 Sep@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–0W
30 Augvs FC Astana2–3L
16 Augvs Okzhetpes0–2L
9 Augvs Aktobe1–1D
1 Augvs Zhetysu1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ordabasy – last 6

WLWWWW
12 Sepvs FC Astana1–0W
5 Sep@ Okzhetpes1–2L
29 Augvs Kyzyl-Zhar3–0W
19 Aug@ Altay2–1W
15 Augvs Altay3–1W
8 Aug@ Zhetysu4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atyrau and Ordabasy.

Atyrau vs Ordabasy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub
FT FC Astana1 Kairat Almaty0 136%2.62X22%3.25243%2.30 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.57 ✗
FT FK Tobol Kostanay0 Yelimay Semey2 147%2.05X22%3.30232%3.10 1.5–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atyrau vs Ordabasy?

Our pick is Ordabasy to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Atyrau vs Ordabasy?

On our numbers Atyrau have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ordabasy 62%.

How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Ordabasy?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Ordabasy?

Our predicted score is Atyrau 0–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Atyrau vs Ordabasy?

Atyrau vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.