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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Astana v Kairat Almaty: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena
1–0
FT
FC Astana 36%Draw 22%Kairat Almaty 43% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.47
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40

FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kairat Almaty travel to face FC Astana on Thursday 17 September in the Premier League, with Astana Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, FC Astana are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Kairat Almaty are 2nd (among the top four) with 65.

Current form

FC Astana, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ordabasy, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Kairat Almaty, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FK Tobol Kostanay, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Astana, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Kairat Almaty.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Kairat Almaty 4–0 FC Astana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.3 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 36%, draw 22%, Kairat Almaty 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Astana36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Kairat Almaty43%fair 2.34 · @2.30
2.78Expected goals
1.31FC Astana xG
1.47Kairat Almaty xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: FC Astana 1.3 – 1.5 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✗43%2.342.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.57
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapFC Astana +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

FC Astana – last 6

LWWDWW
12 Sep@ Ordabasy0–1L
6 Sepvs Yelimay Semey4–0W
30 Aug@ Atyrau3–2W
16 Aug@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–1D
9 Augvs Okzhetpes2–1W
2 Aug@ Ulytau2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kairat Almaty – last 6

LWWWLL
13 Sepvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–4L
9 Sepvs Zhenys3–0W
5 Sep@ Kaspiy3–0W
31 Aug@ Yelimay Semey2–0W
27 Aug@ Anderlecht0–3L
20 Augvs Anderlecht0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Kairat Almaty v FC Astana4–0
FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty?

On our numbers FC Astana have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kairat Almaty 43%.

How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty?

Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty?

FC Astana vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.