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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Tobol Kostanay v Yelimay Semey: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Centralnyj Stadion

FK Tobol Kostanay

WWLWW
0–2
FT

Yelimay Semey

WLLDW
FK Tobol Kostanay 47%Draw 22%Yelimay Semey 32% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.18
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: FK Tobol Kostanay v Yelimay Semey in the Premier League, played at Centralnyj Stadion. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Yelimay Semey are 6th (upper half) with 45.

Current form

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kairat Almaty, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Yelimay Semey, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zhetysu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FK Tobol Kostanay, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Yelimay Semey.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Yelimay Semey 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.5 xG, Yelimay Semey 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 47%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Tobol Kostanay47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Yelimay Semey32%fair 3.15 · @3.10
2.69Expected goals
1.51FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.18Yelimay Semey xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.5 – 1.2 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗47%2.142.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.53
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapYelimay Semey +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WWLWWL
13 Sep@ Kairat Almaty4–1W
6 Sepvs Ulytau3–1W
30 Aug@ Kaspiy0–1L
25 Augvs Kaisar3–2W
16 Aug@ Irtysh2–0W
13 Augvs FK Partizan1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yelimay Semey – last 6

WLLDWD
12 Sepvs Zhetysu2–1W
6 Sep@ FC Astana0–4L
31 Augvs Kairat Almaty0–2L
16 Aug@ Kaspiy2–2D
9 Augvs Irtysh3–1W
2 Aug@ Zhenys0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Yelimay Semey v FK Tobol Kostanay1–0
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub
FT FC Astana1 Kairat Almaty0 136%2.62X22%3.25243%2.30 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Atyrau0 Ordabasy3 116%6.00X23%3.60262%1.44 0.6–1.6xG 2Ordabasy to win 62%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey?

On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yelimay Semey 32%.

How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey?

Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey?

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.