Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Guinea to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenin to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Guinea vs Benin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 31 March the Friendlies brings Guinea against Benin. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guinea 1.1 xG, Benin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guinea 35%, draw 24%, Benin 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Guinea to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guinea 1–1 Benin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guinea35%fair 2.82 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Benin40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
2.31Expected goals
1.11Guinea xG
1.21Benin xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Guinea 1.1 – 1.2 Benin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benin to win✓
40%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Benin (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Guinea +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Benin to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benin / FT Benin✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Guinea – last 1
D
27 Mar
vs Togo
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Benin – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Liberia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guinea and Benin.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Guinea vs Benin?
On our numbers Guinea have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Benin 40%.
How many goals will there be in Guinea vs Benin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guinea vs Benin?
Our predicted score is Guinea 1–1 Benin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Guinea vs Benin?
Guinea vs Benin (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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