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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Peru v Honduras: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
2–2
FT
Peru 48%Draw 26%Honduras 26% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.11
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPeru to win ✗48% · @1.90
Double chancePeru or draw ✓74% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Peru vs Honduras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Peru v Honduras in the Friendlies, played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Peru 1.4 xG, Honduras 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Peru 48%, draw 26%, Honduras 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Peru or draw (74%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peru 1–1 Honduras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Peru48%fair 2.07 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Honduras26%fair 3.92 · @3.85
2.49Expected goals
1.38Peru xG
1.11Honduras xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Peru 1.4 – 1.1 Honduras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PeruHonduras
Attack vs Friendlies average-16%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+21%-2%
Our expected goals here1.441.49

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPeru to win ✗48%2.071.90
Double chancePeru or draw ✓74%1.341.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.91 ▲
Draw no betPeru (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapHonduras +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scorePeru to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Peru / FT Peru ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

Peru

No recent results on record.

Honduras

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Peru and Honduras.

Peru vs Honduras head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Peru vs Honduras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Peru vs Honduras?

On our numbers Peru have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Honduras 26%.

How many goals will there be in Peru vs Honduras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Peru vs Honduras?

Our predicted score is Peru 1–1 Honduras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Peru vs Honduras?

Peru vs Honduras (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.