Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.52
Senegal vs Gambia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gambia travel to face Senegal on Tuesday 31 March in the Friendlies, with Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Senegal 2.0 xG, Gambia 0.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Senegal 76%, draw 17%, Gambia 8%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Senegal 1–0 Gambia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Senegal76%fair 1.32 · @1.17
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @5.60
Gambia8%fair 13.03 · @15.00
2.39Expected goals
1.97Senegal xG
0.42Gambia xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–018%
3–012%
0–09%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Senegal 2.0 – 0.4 Gambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Senegal to win✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Double chance
Senegal or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.35
Draw no bet
Senegal (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Senegal -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Senegal to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Senegal ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Senegal / FT Senegal✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.52
–
Recent results
Senegal
No recent results on record.
Gambia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Senegal and Gambia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Senegal vs Gambia?
On our numbers Senegal have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Gambia 8%.
How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Gambia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Gambia?
Our predicted score is Senegal 1–0 Gambia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Senegal vs Gambia?
Senegal vs Gambia (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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