Value bet: Algeria to win @ 3.40 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlgeria to win ✗39% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Algeria vs Uruguay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Algeria v Uruguay in the Friendlies, played at Allianz Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algeria 1.8 xG, Uruguay 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algeria 39%, draw 25%, Uruguay 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Algeria to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algeria 1–1 Uruguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeria39%fair 2.56 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Uruguay36%fair 2.76 · @2.05
3.48Expected goals
1.84Algeria xG
1.64Uruguay xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Algeria 1.8 – 1.6 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Algeria
Uruguay
Attack vs Friendlies average
+22%
+64%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.58
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeria to win✗
39%
2.56
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Algeria (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Algeria to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeria / FT Algeria✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Algeria – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Guatemala
7–0
W
7.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Uruguay – last 1
D
27 Mar
@ England
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeria and Uruguay.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Algeria vs Uruguay?
On our numbers Algeria have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Uruguay 36%.
How many goals will there be in Algeria vs Uruguay?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Uruguay?
Our predicted score is Algeria 1–1 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Algeria vs Uruguay?
Algeria vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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