Albion FC vs Penarol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penarol travel to face Albion FC on Sunday 15 March in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Luis Franzini the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Penarol are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Penarol, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Danubio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.0 xG, Penarol 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 21%, draw 25%, Penarol 54%.
Lower-risk option: Penarol or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–1 Penarol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albion FC21%fair 4.86 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Penarol54%fair 1.85 · @1.75
2.60Expected goals
0.97Albion FC xG
1.63Penarol xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.0 – 1.6 Penarol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albion FC
Penarol
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+10%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-29%
Our expected goals here
0.99
1.54
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penarol to win✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Double chance
Penarol or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Penarol (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Albion FC +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Penarol to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penarol / FT Penarol✓
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Albion FC – last 2
LW
28 Feb
vs Racing Montevideo
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Cerro
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Penarol – last 4
DWWL
8 Mar
vs Danubio
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Club Nacional
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Maldonado
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Central Espanol
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Penarol.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Albion FC vs Penarol?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Penarol 54%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Penarol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Penarol?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Penarol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Penarol?
Albion FC vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
