Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Central Espanol welcome Cerro Largo to Parque Palermo for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 15 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Central Espanol are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Central Espanol, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensor Sporting, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Largo, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Torque, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Central Espanol, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 0.9 xG, Cerro Largo 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 36%, draw 30%, Cerro Largo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 1–1 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Central Espanol36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Cerro Largo34%fair 2.95 · @2.90
1.81Expected goals
0.90Central Espanol xG
0.91Cerro Largo xG
51%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.9 – 0.9 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-31%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
+5%
Our expected goals here
0.93
1.03
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Espanol to win✗
36%
2.77
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Central Espanol (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Central Espanol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Cerro Largo to score first✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.66
–
Recent results
Central Espanol – last 4
DLWW
9 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Wanderers
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Juventud
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Penarol
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Cerro Largo – last 3
LLL
9 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Cerro Largo.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cerro Largo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
