On Monday 16 November the UEFA Nations League brings Greece against Serbia. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Greece are 2nd on 8 points after 4 matches; Serbia are 4th with 0.
Current form
Greece, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Germany, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Serbia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Netherlands, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Greece, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Serbia.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Serbia 1–2 Greece.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greece 1.8 xG, Serbia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greece 63%, draw 22%, Serbia 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greece 1–0 Serbia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greece63%fair 1.59 · @1.34
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.98
Serbia15%fair 6.68 · @7.34
2.65Expected goals
1.80Greece xG
0.85Serbia xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Greece 1.8 – 0.9 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Greece
Serbia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+4%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+27%
Our expected goals here
1.62
0.91
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Greece vs Serbia?
On our numbers Greece have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Serbia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Greece vs Serbia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greece vs Serbia?
Our predicted score is Greece 1–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Greece vs Serbia?
Greece vs Serbia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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