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FYR Macedonia v Slovenia: numbers & prediction

Mon 16 Nov 2026
FYR Macedonia 13%Draw 23%Slovenia 64% Expected goals 0.62 – 1.70
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultSlovenia to win64% · @1.50
Double chanceSlovenia or draw87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 5.98

FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slovenia travel to face FYR Macedonia on Monday 16 November in the UEFA Nations League – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, FYR Macedonia are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Slovenia are 2nd with 7.

Current form

FYR Macedonia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Switzerland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Slovenia, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Scotland, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Slovenia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for FYR Macedonia.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Slovenia 2–0 FYR Macedonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FYR Macedonia 0.6 xG, Slovenia 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FYR Macedonia 13%, draw 23%, Slovenia 64%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FYR Macedonia 0–2 Slovenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FYR Macedonia13%fair 7.43 · @6.33
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.86
Slovenia64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
2.32Expected goals
0.62FYR Macedonia xG
1.70Slovenia xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%

From our goals model: FYR Macedonia 0.6 – 1.7 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FYR MacedoniaSlovenia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-41%+2%
Goals conceded vs average+36%-14%
Our expected goals here0.621.71

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlovenia to win64%1.571.50
Double chanceSlovenia or draw87%1.161.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.961.55
Draw no betSlovenia (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapSlovenia -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.721.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.09–
First team to scoreSlovenia to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slovenia / FT Slovenia40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117%5.98–

Recent results

FYR Macedonia – last 6

LLLLLD
6 Oct@ Switzerland0–3L
3 Octvs Scotland0–2L
29 Sep@ Slovenia0–2L
26 Sepvs Switzerland0–3L
1 Jun@ Türkiye0–4L
29 May@ Bosnia & Herzegovina0–0D
0.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Slovenia – last 6

WLWDLD
6 Oct@ Scotland2–1W
3 Oct@ Switzerland1–2L
29 Sepvs FYR Macedonia2–0W
26 Sepvs Scotland0–0D
7 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
4 Junvs Cyprus1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026Slovenia v FYR Macedonia2–0
FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland4400+1012
2Slovenia4211+27
3Scotland4112-24
4FYR Macedonia4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?

On our numbers FYR Macedonia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slovenia 64%.

How many goals will there be in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?

Our predicted score is FYR Macedonia 0–2 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?

FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.