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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leevon PPK v Metta LU: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
1–3
FT
Leevon PPK 18%Draw 21%Metta LU 61% Expected goals 1.20 – 2.34
61%
Betarazi pick

Metta LU to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetta LU to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceMetta LU or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Leevon PPK vs Metta LU: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Metta LU travel to face Leevon PPK on Sunday 28 June in the 1. Liga – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Leevon PPK are 4th, among the top four, on 54 points after 26 matches; Metta LU are 1st (leading the league) with 69. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Leevon PPK, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over JFK Ventspils, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Metta LU, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Ķekava Auda, at home. The attack is flying at 5.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leevon PPK 1.2 xG, Metta LU 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leevon PPK 18%, draw 21%, Metta LU 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Metta LU to win (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leevon PPK 1–2 Metta LU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leevon PPK18%fair 5.65 · @4.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.10
Metta LU61%fair 1.63 · @1.53
3.54Expected goals
1.20Leevon PPK xG
2.34Metta LU xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: Leevon PPK 1.2 – 2.3 Metta LU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetta LU to win ✓61%1.631.53
Double chanceMetta LU or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betMetta LU (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapMetta LU -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.841.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreMetta LU to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultMetta LU ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metta LU / FT Metta LU ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Leevon PPK – last 6

WDWWWW
20 Jun@ JFK Ventspils3–1W
13 Jun@ JDFS Alberts0–0D
29 May@ DSVK Traktors5–3W
23 Mayvs JFK Ventspils2–1W
2 Mayvs Tukums II4–1W
22 Mar@ Skanste2–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Metta LU – last 5

WWWWW
20 Junvs Ķekava Auda5–0W
13 Junvs Super Nova 27–3W
31 May@ Lielupe6–0W
19 Aprvs Rēzekne FA5–0W
6 Aprvs Riga FC II2–0W
5.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leevon PPK and Metta LU.

Leevon PPK vs Metta LU head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leevon PPK vs Metta LU?

Our pick is Metta LU to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Leevon PPK vs Metta LU?

On our numbers Leevon PPK have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Metta LU 61%.

How many goals will there be in Leevon PPK vs Metta LU?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leevon PPK vs Metta LU?

Our predicted score is Leevon PPK 1–2 Metta LU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Leevon PPK vs Metta LU?

Leevon PPK vs Metta LU (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.