Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Smiltene to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSkanste to win ✓49% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.43
Smiltene vs Skanste: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smiltene welcome Skanste for a 1. Liga fixture on Sunday 28 June (13:00 WAT). In the table, Smiltene are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 26 matches; Skanste are 10th (lower half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Smiltene, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Valmiera BSS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Skanste, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Riga Mariners, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Skanste, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Smiltene.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smiltene 1.8 xG, Skanste 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smiltene 32%, draw 19%, Skanste 49%.
Price worth noting: Smiltene to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smiltene 1–2 Skanste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smiltene32%fair 3.16 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
Skanste49%fair 2.03 · @1.75
3.75Expected goals
1.80Smiltene xG
1.95Skanste xG
60%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.8 – 2.0 Skanste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Skanste to win✓
49%
2.03
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Skanste (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Smiltene +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Skanste to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Skanste / FT Skanste✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.43
–
Recent results
Smiltene – last 6
LLDLLL
22 Jun
vs Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
14 Jun
@ Riga FC II
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tukums II
1–1
D
13 May
vs Super Nova 2
0–2
L
3 May
vs JDFS Alberts
2–3
L
12 Apr
@ Valmiera BSS
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Skanste – last 6
LLWWLD
14 Jun
vs Riga Mariners
0–2
L
24 May
@ JDFS Alberts
1–4
L
10 May
vs Rīgas FS II
4–0
W
4 May
vs Riga FC II
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Tukums II
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smiltene and Skanste.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Smiltene vs Skanste?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Skanste 49%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Skanste?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Skanste?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Skanste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Skanste?
Smiltene vs Skanste (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
