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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JFK Ventspils v Valmiera BSS: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
0–2
FT
JFK Ventspils 16%Draw 20%Valmiera BSS 64% Expected goals 1.06 – 2.23
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓64% · @1.42
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 28 June the 1. Liga brings JFK Ventspils against Valmiera BSS. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, JFK Ventspils are 13th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 26 matches; Valmiera BSS are 2nd (among the top four) with 60. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JFK Ventspils, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Leevon PPK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Valmiera BSS, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Smiltene, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for JFK Ventspils.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JFK Ventspils 1.1 xG, Valmiera BSS 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JFK Ventspils 16%, draw 20%, Valmiera BSS 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: JFK Ventspils 1–2 Valmiera BSS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JFK Ventspils16%fair 6.33 · @5.25
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
Valmiera BSS64%fair 1.56 · @1.42
3.29Expected goals
1.06JFK Ventspils xG
2.23Valmiera BSS xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: JFK Ventspils 1.1 – 2.2 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValmiera BSS to win ✓64%1.561.42
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betValmiera BSS (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapValmiera BSS -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreValmiera BSS to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultValmiera BSS ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

JFK Ventspils – last 4

LWWL
20 Junvs Leevon PPK1–3L
14 Jun@ Mārupe2–1W
1 Jun@ Upesciema Warriors3–0W
23 May@ Leevon PPK1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Valmiera BSS – last 6

WWDWWW
22 Jun@ Smiltene4–1W
14 Jun@ Tukums II4–1W
26 May@ Super Nova 20–0D
26 Aprvs Rēzekne FA3–1W
12 Aprvs Smiltene4–0W
29 Mar@ Rīgas FS II5–1W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between JFK Ventspils and Valmiera BSS.

JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?

On our numbers JFK Ventspils have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valmiera BSS 64%.

How many goals will there be in JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?

Our predicted score is JFK Ventspils 1–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS?

JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera BSS (1. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.