Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Smiltene vs Riga Mariners: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Riga Mariners travel to face Smiltene on Saturday 12 September in the 1. Liga – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Smiltene are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 26 matches; Riga Mariners are 3rd (among the top four) with 59. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Smiltene, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to JDFS Alberts, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.
Riga Mariners, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Rēzekne FA, at home. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Riga Mariners, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Smiltene.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smiltene 1.1 xG, Riga Mariners 2.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smiltene 12%, draw 17%, Riga Mariners 71%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smiltene 1–2 Riga Mariners. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smiltene12%fair 8.51 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @7.00
Riga Mariners71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
3.82Expected goals
1.09Smiltene xG
2.72Riga Mariners xG
55%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–16%
From our goals model: Smiltene 1.1 – 2.7 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga Mariners to win✗
71%
1.41
1.20
Double chance
Riga Mariners or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Riga Mariners (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Riga Mariners -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
First team to score
Riga Mariners to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Riga Mariners ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Smiltene – last 6
LLLLWL
5 Sep
@ JDFS Alberts
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Metta LU
0–6
L
23 Aug
@ Leevon PPK
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ JFK Ventspils
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Rīgas FS II
3–5
L
1.7Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Super Nova 2
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs JFK Ventspils
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smiltene and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Smiltene have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Riga Mariners 71%.
How many goals will there be in Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Smiltene 1–2 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Smiltene vs Riga Mariners?
Smiltene vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
