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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JDFS Alberts v Valmiera BSS: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
1–2
FT
JDFS Alberts 25%Draw 15%Valmiera BSS 60% Expected goals 1.29 – 2.16
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Valmiera BSS to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultValmiera BSS to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.48

JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: JDFS Alberts v Valmiera BSS in the 1. Liga. In the table, JDFS Alberts are 5th, upper half, on 47 points after 26 matches; Valmiera BSS are 2nd (among the top four) with 60. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JDFS Alberts, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Smiltene, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Valmiera BSS, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Metta LU, at home. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JDFS Alberts 1.3 xG, Valmiera BSS 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JDFS Alberts 25%, draw 15%, Valmiera BSS 60%.
  • Price worth noting: Valmiera BSS to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: JDFS Alberts 1–2 Valmiera BSS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JDFS Alberts25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @3.90
Valmiera BSS60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
3.45Expected goals
1.29JDFS Alberts xG
2.16Valmiera BSS xG
53%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: JDFS Alberts 1.3 – 2.2 Valmiera BSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValmiera BSS to win ✓60%1.671.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betValmiera BSS (draw no bet) ✓70%1.42–
Asian handicapJDFS Alberts +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
First team to scoreValmiera BSS to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultValmiera BSS ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.48–

Recent results

JDFS Alberts – last 6

WWWWDD
5 Sepvs Smiltene3–2W
29 Aug@ Mārupe2–0W
22 Aug@ Rīgas FS II3–1W
8 Augvs Riga FC II2–0W
3 Aug@ Tukums II1–1D
25 Julvs Super Nova 21–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Valmiera BSS – last 6

DWWWWW
5 Sepvs Metta LU2–2D
30 Aug@ Rēzekne FA6–1W
22 Augvs Mārupe4–1W
8 Aug@ Smiltene4–1W
1 Augvs Rīgas FS II2–1W
27 Julvs Riga FC II3–0W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between JDFS Alberts and Valmiera BSS.

JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS?

On our numbers JDFS Alberts have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Valmiera BSS 60%.

How many goals will there be in JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS?

Our predicted score is JDFS Alberts 1–2 Valmiera BSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS?

JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera BSS (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.