Metta LU 78%Draw 12%JFK Ventspils 10%Expected goals 3.13 – 1.07
92%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.08 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultMetta LU to win ✓78% · @1.04
Double chanceMetta LU or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the 1. Liga brings Metta LU against JFK Ventspils. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Metta LU are 1st, leading the league, on 69 points after 26 matches; JFK Ventspils are 13th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 50 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Metta LU, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Valmiera BSS, away. Scoring is no problem – 4.2 a game lately.
JFK Ventspils, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Rīgas FS II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Metta LU, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for JFK Ventspils.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metta LU 3.1 xG, JFK Ventspils 1.1 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metta LU 78%, draw 12%, JFK Ventspils 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (92%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metta LU 3–1 JFK Ventspils. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metta LU78%fair 1.28 · @1.04
Draw12%fair 8.44 · @17.00
JFK Ventspils10%fair 10.12 · @26.00
4.20Expected goals
3.13Metta LU xG
1.07JFK Ventspils xG
52%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Metta LU 3.1 – 1.1 JFK Ventspils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✓
78%
1.28
1.04
Double chance
Metta LU or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Metta LU (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Metta LU -1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
First team to score
Metta LU to score first✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✓
55%
1.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Recent results
Metta LU – last 6
DWWLWD
5 Sep
@ Valmiera BSS
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Smiltene
6–0
W
23 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Riga
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
12–1
W
1 Aug
@ Riga FC II
2–2
D
4.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
JFK Ventspils – last 6
LDLLDL
5 Sep
@ Rīgas FS II
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Riga FC II
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Smiltene
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Riga Mariners
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs JDFS Alberts
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metta LU and JFK Ventspils.
What is the prediction for Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
On our numbers Metta LU have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 12% and JFK Ventspils 10%.
How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
Our predicted score is Metta LU 3–1 JFK Ventspils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils?
Metta LU vs JFK Ventspils (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
