Metta LU 68%Draw 16%Riga Mariners 16%Expected goals 2.86 – 1.40
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMetta LU to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Metta LU vs Riga Mariners: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the 1. Liga brings Metta LU against Riga Mariners. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Metta LU are 1st, leading the league, on 69 points after 26 matches; Riga Mariners are 3rd (among the top four) with 59.
Current form
Metta LU, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over JDFS Alberts, away. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Riga Mariners, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Valmiera BSS, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metta LU 2.9 xG, Riga Mariners 1.4 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metta LU 68%, draw 16%, Riga Mariners 16%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metta LU 2–1 Riga Mariners. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metta LU68%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @5.00
Riga Mariners16%fair 6.14 · @7.50
4.26Expected goals
2.86Metta LU xG
1.40Riga Mariners xG
67%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
2–26%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Metta LU 2.9 – 1.4 Riga Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✓
68%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
Metta LU (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Metta LU -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
First team to score
Metta LU to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
Metta LU – last 6
WWDWWL
19 Sep
@ JDFS Alberts
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs JFK Ventspils
7–0
W
5 Sep
@ Valmiera BSS
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Smiltene
6–0
W
23 Aug
@ Rēzekne FA
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Riga
1–4
L
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Riga Mariners – last 6
WLWWWW
19 Sep
@ Valmiera BSS
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Smiltene
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metta LU and Riga Mariners.
What is the prediction for Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
On our numbers Metta LU have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Riga Mariners 16%.
How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
Our predicted score is Metta LU 2–1 Riga Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Metta LU vs Riga Mariners?
Metta LU vs Riga Mariners (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
