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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JFK Ventspils v Leevon PPK: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
0–4
FT
JFK Ventspils 16%Draw 18%Leevon PPK 66% Expected goals 0.98 – 2.23
66%
Betarazi pick

Leevon PPK to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeevon PPK to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceLeevon PPK or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 13.36

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: JFK Ventspils v Leevon PPK in the 1. Liga. In the table, JFK Ventspils are 13th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 26 matches; Leevon PPK are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JFK Ventspils, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tukums II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Leevon PPK, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 6–3 win over Rīgas FS II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Momentum favours Leevon PPK, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for JFK Ventspils.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended JFK Ventspils 1–3 Leevon PPK. The last 2 head-to-heads: JFK Ventspils 0 wins, Leevon PPK 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JFK Ventspils 1.0 xG, Leevon PPK 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JFK Ventspils 16%, draw 18%, Leevon PPK 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leevon PPK to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: JFK Ventspils 0–2 Leevon PPK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JFK Ventspils16%fair 6.40 · @4.50
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.33
Leevon PPK66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
3.21Expected goals
0.98JFK Ventspils xG
2.23Leevon PPK xG
49%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: JFK Ventspils 1.0 – 2.2 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeevon PPK to win ✓66%1.511.53
Double chanceLeevon PPK or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betLeevon PPK (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapLeevon PPK -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreLeevon PPK to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultLeevon PPK ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leevon PPK / FT Leevon PPK ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7%13.36–

Recent results

JFK Ventspils – last 6

LWLLDL
26 Sep@ Tukums II0–1L
20 Sepvs Skanste1–0W
12 Sep@ Metta LU0–7L
5 Sep@ Rīgas FS II1–4L
29 Augvs Riga FC II1–1D
8 Augvs Super Nova 20–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Leevon PPK – last 6

WDWWWW
19 Sepvs Rīgas FS II6–3W
13 Sep@ Riga FC II1–1D
6 Sep@ Tukums II3–0W
29 Augvs Super Nova 22–1W
23 Augvs Smiltene4–2W
8 Aug@ Mārupe1–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026JFK Ventspils v Leevon PPK1–3
23 May 2026Leevon PPK v JFK Ventspils2–1
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?

Our pick is Leevon PPK to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?

On our numbers JFK Ventspils have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leevon PPK 66%.

How many goals will there be in JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?

Our predicted score is JFK Ventspils 0–2 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK?

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.