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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valmiera BSS v Super Nova 2: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
1–1
FT
Valmiera BSS 78%Draw 15%Super Nova 2 7% Expected goals 2.68 – 0.72
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultValmiera BSS to win ✗78% · @1.08
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Valmiera BSS welcome Super Nova 2 for a 1. Liga fixture on Saturday 10 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Valmiera BSS are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 26 matches; Super Nova 2 are 8th (lower half) with 29. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Valmiera BSS, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Riga Mariners, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Super Nova 2, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Smiltene, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Super Nova 2.

Head to head

When they last met (26 May 2026) it ended Super Nova 2 0–0 Valmiera BSS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valmiera BSS 2.7 xG, Super Nova 2 0.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valmiera BSS 78%, draw 15%, Super Nova 2 7%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valmiera BSS 2–1 Super Nova 2. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valmiera BSS78%fair 1.28 · @1.08
Draw15%fair 6.89 · @8.00
Super Nova 27%fair 14.11 · @26.00
3.40Expected goals
2.68Valmiera BSS xG
0.72Super Nova 2 xG
54%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–011%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%

From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.7 – 0.7 Super Nova 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValmiera BSS to win ✗78%1.281.08
Double chanceValmiera BSS or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.85
Draw no betValmiera BSS (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapValmiera BSS -1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
First team to scoreValmiera BSS to score first ✗76%1.31–
Half-time resultValmiera BSS ahead at half-time ✗58%1.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS ✗55%1.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.60–

Recent results

Valmiera BSS – last 6

LWDWWW
19 Sepvs Riga Mariners2–4L
12 Sep@ JDFS Alberts2–1W
5 Sepvs Metta LU2–2D
30 Aug@ Rēzekne FA6–1W
22 Augvs Mārupe4–1W
8 Aug@ Smiltene4–1W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Super Nova 2 – last 6

LDLDLW
19 Sepvs Smiltene0–2L
11 Sep@ Rēzekne FA2–2D
29 Aug@ Leevon PPK1–2L
23 Augvs Skanste1–1D
15 Aug@ Mārupe1–2L
8 Aug@ JFK Ventspils2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 May 2026Super Nova 2 v Valmiera BSS0–0
Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2 head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2?

On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Super Nova 2 7%.

How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2?

Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–1 Super Nova 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2?

Valmiera BSS vs Super Nova 2 (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.