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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Metta LU v Leevon PPK: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
2–0
FT
Metta LU 67%Draw 16%Leevon PPK 17% Expected goals 2.68 – 1.29
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetta LU to win ✓67% · @1.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Metta LU vs Leevon PPK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the 1. Liga brings Metta LU against Leevon PPK. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Metta LU are 1st, leading the league, on 69 points after 26 matches; Leevon PPK are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Metta LU, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Super Nova 2, away. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Leevon PPK, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with JDFS Alberts, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Leevon PPK 1–3 Metta LU.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Metta LU 2.7 xG, Leevon PPK 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Metta LU 67%, draw 16%, Leevon PPK 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metta LU 2–1 Leevon PPK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Metta LU67%fair 1.48 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @6.50
Leevon PPK17%fair 5.92 · @8.50
3.97Expected goals
2.68Metta LU xG
1.29Leevon PPK xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Metta LU 2.7 – 1.3 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetta LU to win ✓67%1.481.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.73–
Draw no betMetta LU (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapMetta LU -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.341.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.57–
First team to scoreMetta LU to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultMetta LU ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metta LU / FT Metta LU ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.43–

Recent results

Metta LU – last 6

WWWWDW
17 Oct@ Super Nova 23–1W
10 Octvs Riga Mariners4–0W
19 Sep@ JDFS Alberts3–1W
12 Sepvs JFK Ventspils7–0W
5 Sep@ Valmiera BSS2–2D
29 Aug@ Smiltene6–0W
4.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Leevon PPK – last 6

DWWDWW
18 Octvs JDFS Alberts2–2D
10 Oct@ JFK Ventspils4–0W
19 Sepvs Rīgas FS II6–3W
13 Sep@ Riga FC II1–1D
6 Sep@ Tukums II3–0W
29 Augvs Super Nova 22–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Leevon PPK v Metta LU1–3
Metta LU vs Leevon PPK head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

On our numbers Metta LU have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Leevon PPK 17%.

How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

Our predicted score is Metta LU 2–1 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

Metta LU vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.