Value bet: Skanste to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSkanste to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Skanste vs Smiltene: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smiltene travel to face Skanste on Saturday 24 October in the 1. Liga – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Skanste are 10th, lower half, on 26 points after 26 matches; Smiltene are 9th (lower half) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Skanste, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Riga Mariners, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Smiltene, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Riga FC II, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Smiltene, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Skanste.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Smiltene 2–4 Skanste.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Skanste 2.5 xG, Smiltene 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Skanste 62%, draw 17%, Smiltene 21%.
Price worth noting: Skanste to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skanste 2–1 Smiltene. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Skanste62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @4.33
Smiltene21%fair 4.79 · @3.20
3.93Expected goals
2.52Skanste xG
1.41Smiltene xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Skanste 2.5 – 1.4 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Skanste vs Smiltene?
On our numbers Skanste have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smiltene 21%.
How many goals will there be in Skanste vs Smiltene?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skanste vs Smiltene?
Our predicted score is Skanste 2–1 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Skanste vs Smiltene?
Skanste vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
