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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rēzekne FA v Smiltene: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
0–5
FT
Rēzekne FA 17%Draw 17%Smiltene 67% Expected goals 1.26 – 2.63
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSmiltene to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rēzekne FA welcome Smiltene for a 1. Liga fixture on Saturday 7 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Rēzekne FA are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 26 matches; Smiltene are 9th (lower half) with 27. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rēzekne FA, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–8 defeat to JFK Ventspils, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Smiltene, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mārupe, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Smiltene, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Rēzekne FA.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Smiltene 1–0 Rēzekne FA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rēzekne FA 1.3 xG, Smiltene 2.6 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rēzekne FA 17%, draw 17%, Smiltene 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rēzekne FA 1–2 Smiltene. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rēzekne FA17%fair 6.02 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.60
Smiltene67%fair 1.50 · @1.22
3.89Expected goals
1.26Rēzekne FA xG
2.63Smiltene xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%

From our goals model: Rēzekne FA 1.3 – 2.6 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSmiltene to win ✓67%1.501.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.53
Draw no betSmiltene (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapSmiltene -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.361.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.841.69
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗64%1.551.42
First team to scoreSmiltene to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultSmiltene ahead at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Smiltene / FT Smiltene ✓45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Rēzekne FA – last 6

LLLLLD
31 Oct@ JFK Ventspils0–8L
25 Oct@ JDFS Alberts0–5L
18 Octvs Rīgas FS II0–1L
11 Oct@ Riga FC II0–5L
19 Sep@ Tukums II1–3L
11 Sepvs Super Nova 22–2D
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Smiltene – last 6

DWDWWW
31 Octvs Mārupe1–1D
24 Oct@ Skanste3–1W
17 Octvs Riga FC II2–2D
11 Octvs Tukums II3–2W
19 Sep@ Super Nova 22–0W
12 Sepvs Riga Mariners4–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Smiltene v Rēzekne FA1–0
Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

On our numbers Rēzekne FA have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smiltene 67%.

How many goals will there be in Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

Our predicted score is Rēzekne FA 1–2 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene?

Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.