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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Riga Mariners v Leevon PPK: numbers & prediction

1. Liga · Latvia
2–1
FT
Riga Mariners 61%Draw 19%Leevon PPK 20% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.27
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiga Mariners to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.60

Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Riga Mariners welcome Leevon PPK for a 1. Liga fixture on Saturday 7 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Riga Mariners are 3rd, among the top four, on 59 points after 26 matches; Leevon PPK are 4th (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

Riga Mariners, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over JDFS Alberts, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Leevon PPK, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Valmiera BSS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Riga Mariners, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Leevon PPK.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Leevon PPK 2–1 Riga Mariners.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Riga Mariners 2.3 xG, Leevon PPK 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Riga Mariners 61%, draw 19%, Leevon PPK 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga Mariners 2–1 Leevon PPK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Riga Mariners61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.25
Leevon PPK20%fair 5.05 · @3.51
3.59Expected goals
2.32Riga Mariners xG
1.27Leevon PPK xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Riga Mariners 2.3 – 1.3 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiga Mariners to win ✓61%1.651.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.30
Draw no betRiga Mariners (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapRiga Mariners -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.26
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%2.001.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.461.36
First team to scoreRiga Mariners to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultRiga Mariners ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.60–

Recent results

Riga Mariners – last 6

WWWLWL
31 Octvs JDFS Alberts3–1W
24 Oct@ Mārupe6–1W
17 Octvs Skanste4–3W
10 Oct@ Metta LU0–4L
19 Sep@ Valmiera BSS4–2W
12 Sep@ Smiltene1–4L
3.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Leevon PPK – last 6

DLDWWD
31 Octvs Valmiera BSS0–0D
24 Oct@ Metta LU0–2L
18 Octvs JDFS Alberts2–2D
10 Oct@ JFK Ventspils4–0W
19 Sepvs Rīgas FS II6–3W
13 Sep@ Riga FC II1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Leevon PPK v Riga Mariners2–1
Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?

On our numbers Riga Mariners have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leevon PPK 20%.

How many goals will there be in Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?

Our predicted score is Riga Mariners 2–1 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK?

Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.