Value bet: Rīgas FS II to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS II to win ✓64% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tukums II travel to face Rīgas FS II on Saturday 7 November in the 1. Liga – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS II are 11th, lower half, on 24 points after 26 matches; Tukums II are 12th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Rīgas FS II, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Super Nova 2, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Tukums II, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Riga FC II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Tukums II 2–0 Rīgas FS II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS II 2.5 xG, Tukums II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS II 64%, draw 15%, Tukums II 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Rīgas FS II to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS II 2–1 Tukums II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS II64%fair 1.57 · @1.69
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @3.98
Tukums II21%fair 4.71 · @3.76
3.89Expected goals
2.51Rīgas FS II xG
1.38Tukums II xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS II 2.5 – 1.4 Tukums II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
On our numbers Rīgas FS II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tukums II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS II 2–1 Tukums II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II?
Rīgas FS II vs Tukums II (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
