Hegelmann II 21%Draw 22%Neptūną Klaipėda 56%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.63
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeptūną Klaipėda to win ✓56% · @1.36
Double chanceNeptūną Klaipėda or draw ✓79% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the 1 Lyga brings Hegelmann II against Neptūną Klaipėda at Raudondvario stadionas. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Hegelmann II are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Neptūną Klaipėda are 8th (upper half) with 45. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hegelmann II, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Transinvest 2, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Neptūną Klaipėda, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jonava, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Neptūną Klaipėda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.6 for Hegelmann II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann II 1.2 xG, Neptūną Klaipėda 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann II 21%, draw 22%, Neptūną Klaipėda 56%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann II 1–1 Neptūną Klaipėda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hegelmann II21%fair 4.71 · @6.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.60
Neptūną Klaipėda56%fair 1.78 · @1.36
2.85Expected goals
1.21Hegelmann II xG
1.63Neptūną Klaipėda xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hegelmann II 1.2 – 1.6 Neptūną Klaipėda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hegelmann II
Neptūną Klaipėda
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
-8%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
+36%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.26
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neptūną Klaipėda to win✓
56%
1.78
1.36
Double chance
Neptūną Klaipėda or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.63
Draw no bet
Neptūną Klaipėda (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Hegelmann II +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.24
First team to score
Neptūną Klaipėda to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neptūną Klaipėda / FT Neptūną Klaipėda✓
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Hegelmann II – last 5
LWLLL
11 May
vs Transinvest 2
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Be1 NFA
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Minija
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Atmosfera
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Neptūną Klaipėda – last 6
WWLLLW
8 May
@ Jonava
1–0
W
2 May
vs Žalgiris II
2–1
W
22 Apr
vs Džiugas Telšiai
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs BFA
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ Babrungas
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Tauras
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann II and Neptūną Klaipėda.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Neptūną Klaipėda 56%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann II 1–1 Neptūną Klaipėda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Hegelmann II vs Neptūną Klaipėda (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
