Value bet: Žalgiris II to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultŽalgiris II to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Žalgiris II vs BFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFA travel to face Žalgiris II on Friday 22 May in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Žalgiris II are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; BFA are 6th (upper half) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Žalgiris II, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tauras, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
BFA, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Garliava, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours BFA, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Žalgiris II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Žalgiris II 1.5 xG, BFA 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Žalgiris II 38%, draw 25%, BFA 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Žalgiris II to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Žalgiris II 1–1 BFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Žalgiris II38%fair 2.62 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.15
BFA36%fair 2.74 · @2.25
2.77Expected goals
1.47Žalgiris II xG
1.30BFA xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Žalgiris II 1.5 – 1.3 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Žalgiris II
BFA
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+14%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.25
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Žalgiris II to win✗
38%
2.62
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Žalgiris II (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
BFA +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
Žalgiris II to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Žalgiris II / FT Žalgiris II✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Žalgiris II – last 6
DLDDWW
8 May
vs Tauras
2–2
D
2 May
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Transinvest 2
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs FA Šiauliai II
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
BFA – last 6
WLWWDW
19 May
vs Garliava
2–1
W
1 May
@ Babrungas
0–4
L
28 Apr
vs Babrungas
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Žalgiris II and BFA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs BFA?
On our numbers Žalgiris II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BFA 36%.
How many goals will there be in Žalgiris II vs BFA?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Žalgiris II vs BFA?
Our predicted score is Žalgiris II 1–1 BFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Žalgiris II vs BFA?
Žalgiris II vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
