Jonava vs Babrungas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jonava welcome Babrungas to Jonavos centrinis stadionas for a 1 Lyga fixture on Friday 22 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Jonava are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Babrungas are 2nd (among the top four) with 74. There are 42 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jonava, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Neptūną Klaipėda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Babrungas, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atmosfera, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Babrungas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Jonava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jonava 0.9 xG, Babrungas 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jonava 22%, draw 25%, Babrungas 53%.
Lower-risk option: Babrungas or draw (78%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jonava 0–1 Babrungas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jonava22%fair 4.62 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Babrungas53%fair 1.89 · @1.87
2.57Expected goals
0.90Jonava xG
1.67Babrungas xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Jonava 0.9 – 1.7 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jonava
Babrungas
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
-22%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-45%
Our expected goals here
0.72
1.49
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Babrungas to win✗
53%
1.89
1.87
Double chance
Babrungas or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Draw no bet
Babrungas (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Jonava +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.92
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Babrungas to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Jonava – last 5
LLDWD
8 May
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Šiauliai
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ FA Šiauliai II
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Be1 NFA
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Babrungas – last 6
DWLWWW
9 May
@ Atmosfera
1–1
D
1 May
vs BFA
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ BFA
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Garliava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Dainava
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonava and Babrungas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Jonava vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Jonava have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Babrungas 53%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonava vs Babrungas?
Our predicted score is Jonava 0–1 Babrungas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Jonava vs Babrungas?
Jonava vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jonavos centrinis stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
