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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimnasia Chivilcoy v Independiente De Chivilcoy: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Jose Maria Paz
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 55%Draw 28%Independiente De Chivilcoy 17% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.58
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗55% · @1.65
Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.02

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnasia Chivilcoy welcome Independiente De Chivilcoy to Jose Maria Paz for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 7 June (19:30 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sportivo Belgrano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with 9 de Julio Rafaela, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Independiente De Chivilcoy 3–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.3 xG, Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Chivilcoy 55%, draw 28%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 17%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Chivilcoy55%fair 1.82 · @1.65
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.10
Independiente De Chivilcoy17%fair 5.88 · @5.25
1.88Expected goals
1.30Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.58Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.3 – 0.6 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Gimnasia ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-2%-9%
Goals conceded vs average-22%-3%
Our expected goals here1.140.51

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗55%1.821.65
Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.771.50
Draw no betGimnasia Chivilcoy (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapIndependiente De Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.691.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.04
First team to scoreGimnasia Chivilcoy to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimnasia Chivilcoy / FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy ✗32%3.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.02–

Recent results

Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 5

LWLDL
31 May@ Sportivo Belgrano0–1L
16 Apr@ Atletico Escobar2–0W
5 Apr@ Independiente De Chivilcoy0–3L
29 Marvs Sportivo Belgrano0–0D
25 Feb@ Boca Juniors0–2L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 5

DDLWL
31 Mayvs 9 de Julio Rafaela2–2D
24 May@ Atletico Escobar0–0D
17 May@ Sportivo Las Parejas0–1L
5 Aprvs Gimnasia Chivilcoy3–0W
29 Mar@ 9 de Julio Rafaela2–3L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Independiente De Chivilcoy v Gimnasia Chivilcoy3–0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 17%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.