Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 7 June: Santamarina v Kimberley Mar del Plata in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin. In the table, Santamarina are 36th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th (upper half) with 26. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santamarina, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sol de Mayo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Germinal de Rawson, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kimberley Mar del Plata, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Santamarina.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 Santamarina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santamarina 0.7 xG, Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.1 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santamarina 27%, draw 30%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 42%.
Lower-risk option: Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw (73%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw (73%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santamarina 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santamarina27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.75
Kimberley Mar del Plata42%fair 2.36 · @2.70
1.78Expected goals
0.69Santamarina xG
1.09Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santamarina 0.7 – 1.1 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santamarina
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-29%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.58
1.16
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✗
42%
2.36
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw✗
73%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Draw no bet
Kimberley Mar del Plata (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Santamarina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Kimberley Mar del Plata to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata✗
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 42%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
