Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.69
Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 7 June: Germinal de Rawson v Circulo Deportivo in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Circulo Deportivo are 37th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Germinal de Rawson, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kimberley Mar del Plata, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Circulo Deportivo, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kimberley Mar del Plata, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Germinal de Rawson, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Circulo Deportivo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 1.1 xG, Circulo Deportivo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 54%, draw 29%, Circulo Deportivo 17%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germinal de Rawson54%fair 1.86 · @1.60
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.20
Circulo Deportivo17%fair 5.83 · @5.75
1.64Expected goals
1.09Germinal de Rawson xG
0.54Circulo Deportivo xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–019%
2–012%
1–112%
0–111%
2–16%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.1 – 0.5 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Germinal de Rawson
Circulo Deportivo
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-20%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.92
0.56
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✗
54%
1.86
1.60
Double chance
Germinal de Rawson or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.44
Draw no bet
Germinal de Rawson (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Circulo Deportivo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.04
First team to score
Germinal de Rawson to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germinal de Rawson / FT Germinal de Rawson✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.69
–
Recent results
Germinal de Rawson – last 4
LWDD
30 May
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
24 May
vs Sol de Mayo
1–0
W
17 May
vs Guillermo Brown
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Circulo Deportivo – last 3
LLL
17 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Villa Mitre
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Circulo Deportivo.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Circulo Deportivo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
