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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martin Formosa v Tucuman Central: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17 De Octubre
San Martin Formosa 70%Draw 20%Tucuman Central 10% Expected goals 2.13 – 0.59
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓70% · @1.38
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70

San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 7 June the Torneo Federal A brings San Martin Formosa against Tucuman Central at 17 De Octubre. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Tucuman Central are 32nd (lower half) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Martin Formosa, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Defensores de Vilelas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tucuman Central, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Defensores de Vilelas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Tucuman Central 2–0 San Martin Formosa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 2.1 xG, Tucuman Central 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 70%, draw 20%, Tucuman Central 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 2–0 Tucuman Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin Formosa70%fair 1.43 · @1.38
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.80
Tucuman Central10%fair 10.25 · @8.00
2.72Expected goals
2.13San Martin Formosa xG
0.59Tucuman Central xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 2.1 – 0.6 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

San Martin FormosaTucuman Central
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+23%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+77%
Our expected goals here2.620.60

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓70%1.431.38
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.871.44
Draw no betSan Martin Formosa (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapSan Martin Formosa -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.08
First team to scoreSan Martin Formosa to score first ✗73%1.37–
Half-time resultSan Martin Formosa ahead at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.70–

Recent results

San Martin Formosa – last 4

WLLL
25 May@ Defensores de Vilelas3–2W
17 May@ Bartolomé Mitre0–2L
5 Apr@ Tucuman Central0–2L
29 Mar@ Racing Club0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Tucuman Central – last 5

WLLLW
31 Mayvs Defensores de Vilelas2–0W
25 May@ Bartolomé Mitre0–1L
17 May@ Sarmiento de La Banda0–1L
19 Apr@ Boca Unidos1–3L
5 Aprvs San Martin Formosa2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Tucuman Central v San Martin Formosa2–0
San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tucuman Central 10%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 2–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.