Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 2.62 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✓47% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Douglas Haig v 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal A, played at Miguel Morales. In the table, Douglas Haig are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Douglas Haig, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Escobar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Defensores de Belgrano VR, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended 9 de Julio Rafaela 2–0 Douglas Haig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Douglas Haig 1.7 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Douglas Haig 47%, draw 26%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 27%.
Price worth noting: Douglas Haig to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Douglas Haig 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Douglas Haig47%fair 2.12 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.75
9 de Julio Rafaela27%fair 3.69 · @2.70
2.54Expected goals
1.65Douglas Haig xG
0.889 de Julio Rafaela xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Douglas Haig 1.7 – 0.9 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Douglas Haig
9 de Julio Rafaela
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+27%
+33%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
+34%
Our expected goals here
2.05
0.68
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Douglas Haig have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 27%.
How many goals will there be in Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Douglas Haig 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Miguel Morales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
