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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independiente De Chivilcoy v Sportivo Las Parejas: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Raul Orlando Lungarzo
Independiente De Chivilcoy 28%Draw 33%Sportivo Las Parejas 38% Expected goals 0.76 – 0.88
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceSportivo Las Parejas or draw ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.86

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente De Chivilcoy welcome Sportivo Las Parejas to Raul Orlando Lungarzo for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 26 July (19:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to El Linqueño, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Sportivo Las Parejas, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sportivo Las Parejas, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Independiente De Chivilcoy.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.8 xG, Sportivo Las Parejas 0.9 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente De Chivilcoy 28%, draw 33%, Sportivo Las Parejas 38%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sportivo Las Parejas or draw (72%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 Sportivo Las Parejas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente De Chivilcoy28%fair 3.54 · @3.30
Draw33%fair 2.99 · @2.75
Sportivo Las Parejas38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
1.64Expected goals
0.76Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.88Sportivo Las Parejas xG
37%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%

From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.8 – 0.9 Sportivo Las Parejas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Independiente De ChivilcoySportivo Las Parejas
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-9%-1%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-40%
Our expected goals here0.660.68

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✗38%2.612.25
Double chanceSportivo Las Parejas or draw ✓72%1.391.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗63%1.59–
Draw no betSportivo Las Parejas (draw no bet)58%1.74–
Asian handicapIndependiente De Chivilcoy +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreSportivo Las Parejas to score first ✗43%2.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.86–

Recent results

Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6

LDLLDD
12 Jul@ El Linqueño1–2L
5 Jul@ Sportivo Belgrano1–1D
28 Junvs Douglas Haig0–4L
21 Jun@ Defensores de Belgrano VR0–2L
14 Junvs Gimnasia Concepción0–0D
7 Jun@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Las Parejas – last 6

DDDWDD
12 Julvs Sportivo Belgrano0–0D
5 Jul@ Douglas Haig0–0D
27 Junvs Defensores de Belgrano VR1–1D
21 Jun@ Gimnasia Concepción1–0W
13 Junvs Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–0D
7 Jun@ 9 de Julio Rafaela2–2D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Sportivo Las Parejas v Independiente De Chivilcoy1–0
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Sportivo Las Parejas 38%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 Sportivo Las Parejas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas?

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.