Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.23
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Torneo Federal A brings Olimpo Bahia Blanca against Santamarina at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Germinal de Rawson, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Santamarina, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alvarado, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Santamarina 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.5 xG, Santamarina 0.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpo Bahia Blanca 67%, draw 24%, Santamarina 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpo Bahia Blanca67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Santamarina9%fair 10.82 · @6.50
1.87Expected goals
1.54Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
0.33Santamarina xG
32%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
2–018%
0–015%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.5 – 0.3 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Santamarina
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+4%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
+47%
Our expected goals here
1.83
0.34
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santamarina 9%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.