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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olimpo Bahia Blanca v Santamarina: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti
2–0
FT
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 67%Draw 24%Santamarina 9% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.33
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.23

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 July the Torneo Federal A brings Olimpo Bahia Blanca against Santamarina at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Germinal de Rawson, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Santamarina, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alvarado, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Santamarina 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.5 xG, Santamarina 0.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpo Bahia Blanca 67%, draw 24%, Santamarina 9%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpo Bahia Blanca67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Santamarina9%fair 10.82 · @6.50
1.87Expected goals
1.54Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
0.33Santamarina xG
32%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–024%
2–018%
0–015%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%

From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.5 – 0.3 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Olimpo Bahia BlancaSantamarina
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+4%-29%
Goals conceded vs average-34%+47%
Our expected goals here1.830.34

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✓67%1.501.50
Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓91%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓68%1.47–
Draw no betOlimpo Bahia Blanca (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapOlimpo Bahia Blanca -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreOlimpo Bahia Blanca to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpo Bahia Blanca / FT Olimpo Bahia Blanca ✓42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24%4.23–

Recent results

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6

WDDDDD
12 Jul@ Germinal de Rawson1–0W
5 Julvs Villa Mitre0–0D
28 Jun@ Circulo Deportivo1–1D
20 Junvs Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
14 Jun@ Sol de Mayo1–1D
7 Junvs Guillermo Brown0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Santamarina – last 6

DLLDWL
11 Julvs Alvarado0–0D
28 Jun@ Germinal de Rawson0–1L
20 Junvs Villa Mitre0–2L
14 Jun@ Circulo Deportivo0–0D
7 Junvs Kimberley Mar del Plata1–0W
31 May@ Sol de Mayo2–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Santamarina v Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–0
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?

On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santamarina 9%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?

Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.