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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naples v Sarasota Paradise: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Paradise Coast Sports Complex

Naples

LLWLL
0–2
FT

Sarasota Paradise

WWLLL
Naples 50%Draw 25%Sarasota Paradise 25% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.29
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultNaples to win ✗50% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Naples vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naples welcome Sarasota Paradise to Paradise Coast Sports Complex for a USL League One Cup fixture on Sunday 7 June (00:30 WAT). In the table, Naples are 37th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 39th (lower half) with 3. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Naples, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Charlotte Independence, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sarasota Paradise, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NY Cosmos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sarasota Paradise, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Naples.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Naples 2–0 Sarasota Paradise.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naples 1.6 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 50%, draw 25%, Sarasota Paradise 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naples50%fair 2.00 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.35
Sarasota Paradise25%fair 4.00 · @4.00
2.91Expected goals
1.62Naples xG
1.29Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Naples 1.6 – 1.3 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNaples to win ✗50%2.001.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.631.70
Draw no betNaples (draw no bet) ✗67%1.50–
Asian handicapSarasota Paradise +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreNaples to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Naples / FT Naples ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Naples – last 6

LLWLLL
4 Junvs Charlotte Independence1–5L
31 May@ Union Omaha1–2L
24 Mayvs Westchester SC1–0W
14 May@ Boise0–2L
3 Mayvs One Knoxville0–3L
30 Apr@ Miami FC1–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sarasota Paradise – last 6

WWLLLL
31 Mayvs NY Cosmos2–1W
28 May@ Boise2–0W
25 May@ Spokane Velocity0–1L
17 Mayvs Alta1–2L
14 Mayvs Sporting JAX0–2L
3 Mayvs Forward Madison1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Naples v Sarasota Paradise2–0
Naples vs Sarasota Paradise head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

League hub
FT Indy Eleven2 Forward Madison0 154%1.40X24%4.00222%7.00 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT NY Cosmos1 Hartford Athletic4 117%4.75X23%3.95260%1.57 1.0–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗
– Charleston Battery0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds0 Pens 4–2 146%2.05X26%3.30228%3.20 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗
– Detroit City1 Lexington1 Pens 1–3 152%1.73X25%3.40223%4.20 1.6–1.1xG 1Detroit City to win 52%@1.73 ✗
FT Sporting JAX0 Tampa Bay Rowdies2 111%6.40X20%3.90268%1.45 0.7–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Union Omaha4 Fort Wayne2 158%1.55X23%3.95218%5.10 2.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT FC Tulsa1 San Antonio2 142%2.25X28%3.25230%2.85 1.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.33 ✓
FT Spokane Velocity2 Boise1 139%2.20X25%3.45236%2.80 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?

On our numbers Naples have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarasota Paradise 25%.

How many goals will there be in Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?

Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Naples vs Sarasota Paradise?

Naples vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.