Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✓54% · @1.40
Double chanceIndy Eleven or draw ✓78% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Forward Madison travel to face Indy Eleven on Sunday 7 June in the USL League One Cup, with Michael A. Carroll Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 14th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Forward Madison are 32nd (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rhode Island, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Forward Madison, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Greenville Triumph, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Indy Eleven, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Forward Madison.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.6 xG, Forward Madison 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 54%, draw 24%, Forward Madison 22%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Forward Madison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven54%fair 1.85 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @4.00
Forward Madison22%fair 4.63 · @7.00
2.84Expected goals
1.59Indy Eleven xG
1.25Forward Madison xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.6 – 1.3 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✓
54%
1.85
1.40
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Indy Eleven (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Forward Madison +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Indy Eleven to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 6
WWWLLW
31 May
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
24 May
vs Lexington
3–1
W
10 May
vs Sporting JAX
2–1
W
3 May
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 6
LWLLLW
4 Jun
@ Greenville Triumph
0–1
L
30 May
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
24 May
@ Charlotte Independence
1–3
L
16 May
vs Detroit City
0–1
L
10 May
@ Alta
0–2
L
3 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forward Madison 22%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison?
Indy Eleven vs Forward Madison (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
