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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting JAX v Tampa Bay Rowdies: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Hodges Stadium

Sporting JAX

DWLLL
0–2
FT

Tampa Bay Rowdies

WWWWD
Sporting JAX 11%Draw 20%Tampa Bay Rowdies 68% Expected goals 0.73 – 2.13
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓68% · @1.45
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 7 June: Sporting JAX v Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL League One Cup, played at Hodges Stadium. In the table, Sporting JAX are 27th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3rd (among the top four) with 12.

Current form

Sporting JAX, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with San Antonio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Louisville City, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting JAX.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting JAX 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 0.7 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 11%, draw 20%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting JAX11%fair 8.80 · @6.40
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.90
Tampa Bay Rowdies68%fair 1.46 · @1.45
2.85Expected goals
0.73Sporting JAX xG
2.13Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–112%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Sporting JAX 0.7 – 2.1 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓68%1.461.45
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓89%1.131.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.83
Draw no betTampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapTampa Bay Rowdies -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreTampa Bay Rowdies to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultTampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Sporting JAX – last 6

DWLLLL
28 Mayvs San Antonio4–4D
14 May@ Sarasota Paradise2–0W
10 May@ Indy Eleven1–2L
3 May@ Charleston Battery0–4L
26 Aprvs Miami FC0–1L
5 Aprvs Tampa Bay Rowdies0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

WWWWDW
31 May@ Louisville City2–0W
24 Mayvs Phoenix Rising3–0W
21 May@ New Mexico United1–0W
17 May@ Miami FC4–1W
10 May@ Rhode Island1–1D
3 Mayvs Indy Eleven1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Sporting JAX v Tampa Bay Rowdies0–1
Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

League hub
FT Indy Eleven2 Forward Madison0 154%1.40X24%4.00222%7.00 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT NY Cosmos1 Hartford Athletic4 117%4.75X23%3.95260%1.57 1.0–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗
– Charleston Battery0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds0 Pens 4–2 146%2.05X26%3.30228%3.20 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗
– Detroit City1 Lexington1 Pens 1–3 152%1.73X25%3.40223%4.20 1.6–1.1xG 1Detroit City to win 52%@1.73 ✗
FT Naples0 Sarasota Paradise2 150%1.80X25%3.35225%4.00 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Union Omaha4 Fort Wayne2 158%1.55X23%3.95218%5.10 2.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
FT FC Tulsa1 San Antonio2 142%2.25X28%3.25230%2.85 1.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.33 ✓
FT Spokane Velocity2 Boise1 139%2.20X25%3.45236%2.80 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 68%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.