Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 July the USL League One Cup brings Tampa Bay Rowdies against Naples at Al Lang Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3rd, among the top four, on 12 points after 4 matches; Naples are 37th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lexington, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Naples, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NY Cosmos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Naples.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Feb 2026) it ended Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Naples.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.2 xG, Naples 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 68%, draw 19%, Naples 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.20
Naples13%fair 7.98 · @9.20
3.04Expected goals
2.21Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.82Naples xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.2 – 0.8 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Naples 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
