Sarasota Paradise 31%Draw 20%Miami FC 49%Expected goals 1.50 – 1.67
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Sarasota Paradise to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMiami FC to win ✓49% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Sarasota Paradise v Miami FC in the USL League One Cup, played at Premier Sports Campus. In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 39th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Miami FC are 6th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Greenville Triumph, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Miami FC, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Birmingham Legion, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 1.5 xG, Miami FC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 31%, draw 20%, Miami FC 49%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Sarasota Paradise to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarasota Paradise31%fair 3.20 · @3.55
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
Miami FC49%fair 2.05 · @1.80
3.17Expected goals
1.50Sarasota Paradise xG
1.67Miami FC xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.5 – 1.7 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✓
49%
2.05
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Draw no bet
Miami FC (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Sarasota Paradise +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Miami FC to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
DDLWLW
9 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
1–4
L
14 Jun
vs Union Omaha
2–0
W
11 Jun
@ Alta
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Naples
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Miami FC – last 6
DLDLWL
6 Jul
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
25 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–4
L
14 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
0–0
D
31 May
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
24 May
vs Louisville City
4–3
W
21 May
@ Detroit City
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Miami FC.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Miami FC 49%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
