Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NY Cosmos travel to face Portland Hearts of Pine on Sunday 12 July in the USL League One Cup, with Fitzpatrick Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Portland Hearts of Pine are 24th, lower half, on 6 points after 4 matches; NY Cosmos are 36th (lower half) with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portland Hearts of Pine, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Naples, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
NY Cosmos, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Naples, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Portland Hearts of Pine, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for NY Cosmos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Hearts of Pine 2.3 xG, NY Cosmos 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Hearts of Pine 57%, draw 20%, NY Cosmos 23%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 NY Cosmos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Hearts of Pine57%fair 1.75 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.20
NY Cosmos23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
3.77Expected goals
2.28Portland Hearts of Pine xG
1.49NY Cosmos xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 2.3 – 1.5 NY Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Hearts of Pine to win✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Draw no bet
Portland Hearts of Pine (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
NY Cosmos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
First team to score
Portland Hearts of Pine to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Portland Hearts of Pine ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Hearts of Pine / FT Portland Hearts of Pine✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
WWLLLL
4 Jul
@ Naples
3–2
W
25 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Westchester SC
1–5
L
13 Jun
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Brooklyn
1–5
L
4 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
NY Cosmos – last 6
WLLLLL
9 Jul
vs Naples
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Greenville Triumph
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–3
L
14 Jun
@ One Knoxville
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Hartford Athletic
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Hearts of Pine and NY Cosmos.
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NY Cosmos 23%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 NY Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
