Manchester City 57%Draw 22%Liverpool 21%Expected goals 2.36 – 1.49
79%
Betarazi pick
Manchester City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceManchester City or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Manchester City vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the FA Cup brings Manchester City against Liverpool at Etihad Stadium. Kick-off: 12:45 WAT.
Current form
Manchester City, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Arsenal, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Liverpool, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Galatasaray, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Liverpool, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Manchester City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City 2.4 xG, Liverpool 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City 57%, draw 22%, Liverpool 21%.
Lower-risk option: Manchester City or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Manchester City or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City 2–1 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.95
Liverpool21%fair 4.74 · @4.10
3.85Expected goals
2.36Manchester City xG
1.49Liverpool xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Manchester City 2.4 – 1.5 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Manchester City or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Liverpool +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.22
First team to score
Manchester City to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Manchester City – last 4
WLLD
22 Mar
@ Arsenal
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Madrid
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Real Madrid
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Nottingham Forest
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
WDLWLW
18 Mar
vs Galatasaray
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Galatasaray
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Wolves
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Wolves
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Liverpool.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Manchester City or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manchester City vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Liverpool 21%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Liverpool?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 2–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Manchester City vs Liverpool (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Etihad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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