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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aresimi v Pelister: numbers & prediction

First League · Macedonia

Aresimi

WLLLL
1–0
FT
Aresimi 32%Draw 25%Pelister 43% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.58
50%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultPelister to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Aresimi vs Pelister: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Aresimi v Pelister in the First League.

Current form

Aresimi, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Makedonija GjP, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Pelister, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vardar Skopje, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aresimi 1.2 xG, Pelister 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aresimi 32%, draw 25%, Pelister 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aresimi 1–2 Pelister. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aresimi32%fair 3.13 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Pelister43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
2.80Expected goals
1.22Aresimi xG
1.58Pelister xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Aresimi 1.2 – 1.6 Pelister expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPelister to win ✗43%2.322.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betPelister (draw no bet) ✗57%1.74–
Asian handicapAresimi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scorePelister to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pelister / FT Pelister ✗27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.79–

Recent results

Aresimi – last 6

WLLLLD
9 Apr@ Makedonija GjP1–0W
3 Apr@ Akademija Pandev1–2L
15 Mar@ Shkendija0–1L
10 Mar@ FK Rabotnicki0–1L
4 Marvs Tikveš0–5L
1 Marvs Makedonija GjP1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pelister – last 6

DWLDLD
8 Aprvs Vardar Skopje0–0D
4 Apr@ Shkendija2–1W
22 Marvs Struga0–2L
16 Mar@ Sileks0–0D
8 Mar@ Tikveš0–1L
5 Marvs Sileks0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aresimi and Pelister.

Aresimi vs Pelister head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Struga13922+2129
2Shkendija13832+1427
3Tikveš13661+1624
4Vardar Skopje13733+824
5Shkëndija Haraçinë13535-518
6Sileks13454+717
7Bregalnica Štip13427-614
8Bashkimi Kumanovo13328-2111
9Aresimi13247-1710
10Skopje13049-174

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aresimi vs Pelister?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Aresimi vs Pelister?

On our numbers Aresimi have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pelister 43%.

How many goals will there be in Aresimi vs Pelister?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aresimi vs Pelister?

Our predicted score is Aresimi 1–2 Pelister, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Aresimi vs Pelister?

Aresimi vs Pelister (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.